USGS webcam view of Halemaʻumaʻu at the summit of Kīlauea on Tuesday morning

(BIVN) – The ongoing eruption at the summit of Kīlauea remains paused.

A new eruptive episode is likely to begin within the next 1 to 3 days, given current rates of inflation. The USGS Hawaiian Volcano Observatory notes summit inflationary tilt slowed slightly over the past 24 hours. (Note: this information has been updated to reflect the most recent update from the USGS)

The USGS Volcano Alert Level for Kilauea is at WATCH. 

USGS: “Hawaiian Volcano Observatory geologists captured this aerial view of Kīlauea summit on March 14, 2025, during a helicopter overflight. Three days after the end of episode 13 of the ongoing eruption, the north and south cones are degassing in the southwest corner of Halema‘uma‘u. The Steam Vents parking lot is in the right foreground, with the Wahinekapu (Steaming Bluff) viewing area towards the center left of the photo.” (USGS photo by N. Deligne)

So far, there have been 13 eruptive episodes since the current summit eruption began on December 23, 2024. All lava activity has been confined to the area of the summit caldera within Hawaiʻi Volcanoes National Park. No significant activity has been noted along Kīlauea’s East Rift Zone or Southwest Rift Zone. 

The USGS HVO reports the SO2 emission rate of 1,500 t/d was measured on March 13, which is a typical rate for eruption pauses. 

“If current inflation rates at UWD continue, current estimates suggest that the most likely window of time for a new episode to begin is within the next 1-3 days between Wednesday, March 19 and Friday, March 21 with Thursday the most likely,” the USGS HVPO wrote on Tuesday morning. “If inflation rates continue to decrease, the time to reach the estimated window for the start of episode 14 may increase.” (Updated)