“The center of Flossie was hidden by high clouds most of the night before virs nighttime visual satellite imagery revealed an exposed low level circulation center farther north than expected. We re-bested the 0600 utc position based on the visible data. Subjective Dvorak analyses continued show current intensities of 3.0 but satellite loops suggest a rapid weakening trend with the low level center pulling away from a small area of convection southeast of the center. It is likely that continued northwest shear will maintain this weakening trend.

The track has been shifted north to reflect the re-located center. The track guidance shifted following the track change and was consistent with a new track farther to the north. The track now shows Flossie passing over Maui today… Over Oahu tonight… Then passing south of Kauai early Tuesday morning. We expect Flossie to weaken steadily as it tracks west northwest and dissipate within 96 hours.”